The Inevitable Same-ification of the Internet

May 31, 2019 · 6 min read

Last month, Facebook revealed a major redesign of all its apps across web and mobile. Reactions from design twitter were mixed, but there was one thing everyone agreed on: it looked familiar.

Facebook’s 2019 Redesign, compared to Twitter by Alex Muench
Facebook’s 2019 Redesign, compared to Twitter by Alex Muench

A few folks correctly noted that even Twitter’s most recent redesign looked eerily similar to Google Plus circa 2013:

Google Plus’s 2013 Redesign
Google Plus’s 2013 Redesign

Going deeper, Google’s 2013 redesign of Google Plus took a lot of cues from Pinterest’s design at the time:

Pinterest in 2013
Pinterest in 2013

What’s going on here? Why do all websites look the same?

The question gets debated in the design discourse every few years. Here are some plausible answers:

I agree with all of these arguments. But I’d like to offer another explanation for the same-ification of the internet, one that speaks to a fundamental truth about the way we make design decisions.

The principle of minimum differentiation

In 1929, the economist Harold Hotelling published a paper in The Economic Journal titled “Stability in Competition.” The paper describes a strange phenomenon: “an undue tendency for competitors to imitate each other in quality of goods, in location, and in other essential ways.”

90 years later, it’s easy to see: compare McDonalds and Burger King, Pepsi and Coke, or CVS and Walgreens. But it was noticeable even in 1929, when stores opened across the street from one another selling nearly identical goods at a nearly identical price point.

Hotelling’s paper shows that the convergence of competition to nearly-identical products is not just a coincidence: it is inevitable. It seems irrational, but the math is sound. This is an emergent phenomenon: it’s not written into the rules. Businesses don’t need to coordinate with each other. Over time, as each business pursues its own success according to the same rules, clusters form.

For a deeper explanation, check out this 4-minute video:

Minimum differentiation in software

Ice cream stands on the beach are one thing. Applications — especially ones as large and multifaceted as Facebook and Twitter — don’t fit perfectly into Hotelling’s simplified model of the world. But minimum differentiation factors into all the explanations for same-ness:

These behaviors come from many product makers making perfectly rational decisions. Some even set out to differentiate themselves, only to find their end of the beach getting more crowded. Take Snapchat, for instance: the app launched its “stories” feature in 2013. At the time, Snapchat was new and different (whether or not the UI and UX is good or bad is still hotly debated2). In 2016, Instagram launched its own version of stories.

Instagram CEO Kevin Systrom put it in no uncertain terms: “[Snapchat] deserves all the credit.” Other platforms followed. In 2019, Instagram, Facebook, and WhatsApp each count more than 500 million people posting or viewing stories every day.3

Conclusion

Photo by James Wainscoat on Unsplash
Photo by James Wainscoat on Unsplash

Convergence is not the sign of a broken system, or a symptom of a more insidious disease. It is an emergent phenomenon that arises from a few simple rules.

It’s similar to another emergent phenomenon: a murmuration of starlings. Each bird follows three rules:

  1. Separation: Don’t crowd other birds.
  2. Cohesion: Move towards the center of nearby groups of birds.
  3. Alignment: Try to match the direction and speed of nearby birds.

The birds don’t communicate directly with each other, but they still form a cohesive and ever-evolving flock. Seen from afar, it’s almost as if they are a single organism.4

If Hotelling is right, even if they try to differentiate themselves, all websites will eventually flock together.


Special thanks to Josh Petersel and James Ayres for contributing to early drafts of this essay.


Footnotes:
  1. Oddly, this mindset is seen as a positive one for developers to have. ↩︎

  2. Snapchat’s usability sucks.” ↩︎

  3. https://techcrunch.com/2019/04/24/facebook-stories-500-million/ ↩︎

  4. The study of murmurations intersects with computer science in some really neat ways. ↩︎